← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | YEEES-but-why | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 62% (8–5, n=13) | 50% (9–9, n=18) | 53% (307–269, n=576) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | $624K | $435K | $308K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #503 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (3 of 5 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (94 of 141 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 8 at avg 51¢, ROI +49% | 100% of 10 at avg 48¢, ROI +54% | 100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 38% (won 100% of 3) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 30% (won 100% of 49) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 63% (won 100% of 5) | 30% (won 100% of 3) | 62% (won 100% of 101) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 1) | 8% (won 100% of 13) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | fantasy7788 | HomeRunHazard | YEEES-but-why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | Pistons $48K | — | Wizards $49K | — |
| Jets vs. Stars opposite sides · consensus Stars | Jets $31K | — | Stars $10K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Pistons | Pistons $12K | — | Wizards $2.0K | — |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $5.3K | — | Under $4.3K | — |
| Spread: Suns (-6.5) same side · consensus Hornets | Hornets $186K | — | Hornets $1.8K | — |