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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | djstellen | HomeRunHazard | MD14 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | no settled market | 53% (516–456, n=972) | 81% (22–5, n=27) |
| Consensus PnL | $856K | — | $362K | $328K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #713 | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #114 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 65% (104 of 161 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50% | — | 100% of 224 at avg 53¢, ROI +48% | 92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 4% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 42% (won 100% of 5) | — | 31% (won 100% of 70) | 13% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 58% (won 100% of 7) | — | 60% (won 100% of 135) | 21% (won 80% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | — | 7% (won 100% of 16) | 63% (won 100% of 15) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | djstellen | HomeRunHazard | MD14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche vs. Canadiens opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | Avalanche $260K | — | Canadiens $14K | — |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Nets $32K | — | Grizzlies $83K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Pistons $26K | — | Heat $6.0K | — |
| Mavericks vs. Cavaliers same side · consensus Mavericks | — | — | Cavaliers $48K | Cavaliers $1.2K |