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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | robustmst | SuperMegaMan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (2–2, n=4) | 60% (12–8, n=20) | 41% (12–17, n=29) | 0% (0–2, n=2) |
| Consensus PnL | $344K | $779K | $208K | -$10K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #64 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #29 | PM monthly #132 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 39% (7 of 18 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1 at avg 53¢, ROI +47% | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% | 67% of 754 at avg 50¢, ROI +16% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 11% (won 69% of 36) | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 11% (won 36% of 85) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 35% (won 97% of 116) | 65% (won 78% of 36) | 36% (won 61% of 270) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 37% (won 99% of 124) | 29% (won 94% of 16) | 45% (won 77% of 342) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 17% (won 100% of 56) | 4% (won 50% of 2) | 8% (won 84% of 57) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | robustmst | SuperMegaMan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $98K | Kings $76 | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | — | Trail Blazers $2.8K | — | Thunder $6.4K |