Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-176631754118895degoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)62% (8–5, n=13)58% (7–5, n=12)50% (6–6, n=12)53% (307–269, n=576)
Consensus PnL$624K-$469$423K$308K
Tracked asPM monthly #36was PM monthly #993PM monthly #17PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus60% (3 of 5 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position67% (94 of 141 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 8 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%—100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%100% of 164 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢0%—0%1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢38% (won 100% of 3)—17% (won 100% of 1)30% (won 100% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢63% (won 100% of 5)—83% (won 100% of 5)62% (won 100% of 101)
Entries 70¢ and up0%—0%8% (won 100% of 13)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-176631754118895degoogleplayHomeRunHazard
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
Pistons $48K——Wizards $49K
Jets vs. Stars
opposite sides · consensus Stars
Jets $31K——Stars $10K
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $12K——Wizards $2.0K
Sabres vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.3K——Under $4.3K
Spread: Suns (-6.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Hornets $186K——Hornets $1.8K