PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)95% (69–4, n=73)68% (43–20, n=63)48% (12125–12957, n=25082)
Consensus PnL$10K$5.8M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (19 of 19 open)100% (2 of 2 open)63% (34 of 54 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92—
Settled positions, side won98% of 149 at avg 95¢, ROI +1%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 50% of 2)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢0%29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢0%54% (won 51% of 115)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up99% (won 99% of 147)14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.