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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| reykreyk | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (15–11, n=26) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 55% (13382–10751, n=24133) | 43% (10–13, n=23) |
| Consensus PnL | $18K | $8.4M | $1.4M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #977 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 63% (73 of 115 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 14 at avg 47¢, ROI +55% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 36% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 7% (won 100% of 1) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | reykreyk | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Vikings same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $15K | Bills $75 | — |