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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c4ddD52a101E05151153b712D75b7eF2b7C0486-1775042514466joseph00677ndb1primm
Record (consensus markets)48% (289–313, n=602)45% (10–12, n=22)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)
Consensus PnL-$11K$5.3M$4.8M$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #2PM monthly #98PM monthly #53
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position73% (54 of 74 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won66% of 266 at avg 53¢, ROI +6%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 26% of 43)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 15% of 186)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 60% of 82)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 267)41% (won 99% of 418)
Entries 50–70¢26% (won 74% of 70)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 326)49% (won 99% of 504)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 89% of 71)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 619)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.