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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1primmrandomrandomrandom
Record (consensus markets)54% (4944–4167, n=9111)63% (1101–635, n=1736)47% (1413–1577, n=2990)57% (8–6, n=14)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$4.6M$3.7M-$8.2K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #110PM monthly #40PM monthly #991
Sides with the consensus50% (9 of 18 open)71% (67 of 95 open)no open consensus position38% (3 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)—
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ndb1primmrandomrandomrandom
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $9.9K——Yes $38K
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $226—No $1.1K
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $9.8K——No $1.8K