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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | machbut | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3295, n=7816) | 59% (22–15, n=37) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $30K | $3.2M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | was PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 67% (2 of 3 open) | 72% (93 of 130 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 71% of 31 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 0% of 3) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 5) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 16% (won 60% of 5) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 58% (won 94% of 18) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | machbut | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $49K | Yes $1.0M | — |