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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | scrapbook | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4512–3287, n=7799) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 54% (156–134, n=290) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $5.3M | -$9.5K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #992 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (16 of 22 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (4 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Economy −8 pts, n=32 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 47% of 331 at avg 41¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 38% (won 13% of 127) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 18% (won 48% of 61) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 27% (won 66% of 89) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 16% (won 91% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | scrapbook |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $56 | — | Yes $105 |