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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677primmskadii
Record (consensus markets)58% (4542–3331, n=7873)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1116–1127, n=2243)47% (178–200, n=378)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$5.3M$3.6M-$42K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #2PM monthly #51PM monthly #295
Sides with the consensus53% (20 of 38 open)no open consensus position67% (16 of 24 open)17% (1 of 6 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%46% of 363 at avg 46¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)12% (won 0% of 2)5% (won 94% of 51)27% (won 14% of 98)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)6% (won 0% of 1)41% (won 99% of 418)31% (won 42% of 112)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)65% (won 73% of 11)49% (won 99% of 504)26% (won 66% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)18% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 47)16% (won 77% of 57)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677primmskadii
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus T1
T1 $368K——Karmine Corp $4.6K
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Karmine Corp
Karmine Corp $1.1K——T1 $18
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
same side · consensus T1
T1 $208K——T1 $31K
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus Karmine Corp
T1 $79K——T1 $5
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)
same side · consensus T1
Karmine Corp $7——Karmine Corp $936