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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677mostlywrongS-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)43% (10–13, n=23)59% (60–42, n=102)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$3.3M$7.5K$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #8was PM monthly #934PM monthly #73
Sides with the consensus48% (14 of 29 open)no open consensus position100% (4 of 4 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—College Football −15 pts, n=11Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%43% of 95 at avg 39¢, ROI 0%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)12% (won 0% of 2)53% (won 12% of 50)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)6% (won 0% of 1)11% (won 40% of 10)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)65% (won 73% of 11)8% (won 63% of 8)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)18% (won 67% of 3)28% (won 96% of 27)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.