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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | Vanchalkenstein | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3301, n=7819) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (14112–15590, n=29702) | 53% (285–250, n=535) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $5.3M | $14.8M | -$1.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #65 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #30 + pinned | PM monthly #587 |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (18 of 26 open) | no open consensus position | 53% (30 of 57 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | NBA −3 pts, n=123 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 54% of 580 at avg 49¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 10% (won 24% of 58) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 47% (won 51% of 271) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 32% (won 60% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 11% (won 77% of 64) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | Vanchalkenstein |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello same side · consensus Alice Tubello | Alice Tubello $2.4K | — | Alice Tubello $17K | — |