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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677NM-PRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)45% (10–12, n=22)83% (5381–1110, n=6491)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$47K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #52PM monthly #2PM monthly #535PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (20 of 27 open)no open consensus position64% (49 of 76 open)56% (31 of 55 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)6% (won 100% of 256)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 100% of 859)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 100% of 884)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)51% (won 100% of 2087)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677NM-PRN1
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $2
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4K——Alice Tubello $26K
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.8KNo $143
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $166Under $323