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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026ndb1pizzabillgates
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)35% (3639–6643, n=10282)63% (993–577, n=1570)50% (3–3, n=6)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.0M$4.8M-$74K
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #119PM monthly #94PM monthly #649
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)67% (14 of 21 open)70% (51 of 73 open)94% (32 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%50% of 8 at avg 40¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—13% (won 15% of 186)50% (won 0% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—19% (won 39% of 267)13% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—23% (won 58% of 326)0%
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—44% (won 94% of 619)38% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026ndb1pizzabillgates
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Tommy Paul $27Ben Shelton $41K——
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.7KYes $7.1K
Nepal Premier League: Chitwan Rhinos vs Pokhara Avengers
same side · consensus Chitwan Rhinos
Chitwan Rhinos $341Chitwan Rhinos $65——