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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | denizz | RN1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (41–44, n=85) | no settled market | 67% (334–163, n=497) | 63% (12–7, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$367K | $0 | -$108K | $251K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #145 | PM monthly #38 + pinned | PM monthly #35 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 86% (6 of 7 open) | 60% (9 of 15 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Politics −2 pts, n=16 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 9 at avg 49¢, ROI +49% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 26% (won 6% of 63) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 12% (won 57% of 30) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | 33% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 66% of 32) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | 44% (won 100% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 49% (won 96% of 120) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | 11% (won 100% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | denizz | RN1 | robloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Heat $52K | — | — | Jazz $2.4K |
| Heat vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $9.3K | — | — | Jazz $4.5K |
| Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Michael Zheng same side · consensus Giles Hussey | Giles Hussey $3.6K | — | Giles Hussey $11 | — |