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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | broskye | fantasy7788 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–39, n=76) | no settled market | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 68% (310–145, n=455) |
| Consensus PnL | -$387K | -$0 | $245K | -$57K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #37 | PM monthly #354 | PM monthly #71 | PM monthly #36 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (8 of 12 open) | 82% (28 of 34 open) | no open consensus position | 72% (26 of 36 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Elections −1 pts, n=119 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 25% of 209 at avg 28¢, ROI +8% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 66% (won 1% of 137) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 8% (won 53% of 17) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 8% (won 47% of 17) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 18% (won 89% of 38) | 0% | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | broskye | fantasy7788 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lima: Elmer Moeller vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri same side · consensus Elmer Moeller | Elmer Moeller $4.3K | — | — | Elmer Moeller $7.1K |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.1K | — | — | Under $26 |