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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4NagastaBagambiRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)no settled market41% (23–33, n=56)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$20K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19—was PM monthly #890PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position45% (13 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—96% of 25 at avg 35¢, ROI +65%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—36% (won 100% of 9)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)—56% (won 93% of 14)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)—8% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)—0%33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4NagastaBagambiRN1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Antonia Ruzic $7.4K——Alexandra Eala $48K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Tommy Paul $27——Ben Shelton $25K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $724——Mai Hontama $17K