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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Gdub
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)no settled market75% (549–185, n=734)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$13K
Tracked asPM monthly #69—was PM monthly #999
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)no open consensus position65% (15 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Elections −1 pts, n=146
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—77% of 779 at avg 74¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—12% (won 15% of 95)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—8% (won 41% of 59)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—9% (won 67% of 70)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—71% (won 93% of 555)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Gdub
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $56—Yes $7.2K
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $49—No $1.9K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51K—Yes $473