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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Gdubjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)no settled market75% (549–184, n=733)53% (10–9, n=19)
Consensus PnL$8.9M—$13K$5.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344—was PM monthly #999PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)no open consensus position100% (5 of 5 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Elections −1 pts, n=146—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—77% of 779 at avg 74¢, ROI +1%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—12% (won 15% of 95)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—8% (won 41% of 59)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—9% (won 67% of 70)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—71% (won 93% of 555)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.