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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Flaznorplopezmartin
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)no settled market52% (6506–6010, n=12516)65% (11–6, n=17)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$3.3M$47K
Tracked asPM monthly #67—PM monthly #24PM monthly #554
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus position73% (167 of 230 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 50¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—29% (won 11% of 465)24% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—16% (won 40% of 255)18% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 67% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—39% (won 94% of 637)24% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Flaznorplopezmartin
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Arthur Rinderknech $2—Ben Shelton $5.4K—