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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4BeastsBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)no settled market42% (11–15, n=26)46% (560–667, n=1227)
Consensus PnL$8.9M—$81K$9.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344—PM monthly #350PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus52% (14 of 27 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position60% (15 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Esports −5 pts, n=16—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—40% of 20 at avg 43¢, ROI −1%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—35% (won 29% of 7)11% (won 80% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—35% (won 43% of 7)35% (won 98% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—15% (won 33% of 3)35% (won 100% of 201)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—15% (won 67% of 3)20% (won 100% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4BeastsBreakTheBank
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $270K——No $651K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $92K——No $327K