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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465a17367162806googleplayjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)50% (71–72, n=143)no settled market50% (5–5, n=10)no settled market
Consensus PnL-$253K—$430K—
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #410PM monthly #18PM monthly #6
Sides with the consensus46% (18 of 39 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
  • NBA +44 pts n=26, ROI +42%
  • Soccer +35 pts n=22, ROI +25%
none with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%97% of 64 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%—
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%0%—
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)42% (won 93% of 27)20% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)44% (won 100% of 28)80% (won 100% of 4)—
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)14% (won 100% of 9)0%—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465a17367162806googleplayjoseph00677
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $3.8K—