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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | KnightDasCapital | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (17–14, n=31) | no settled market | 75% (9–3, n=12) |
| Consensus PnL | -$239K | — | $84K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | was PM monthly #1000 | PM monthly #40 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (14 of 25 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Soccer ±0 pts, n=7349 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 52% of 8639 at avg 52¢, ROI +1% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 19% (won 17% of 1603) | 5% (won 95% of 59) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 28% (won 40% of 2386) | 40% (won 99% of 512) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 28% (won 59% of 2425) | 50% (won 100% of 633) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 26% (won 82% of 2225) | 5% (won 100% of 65) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | KnightDasCapital | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? opposite sides · consensus No | No $173K | Yes $112 | — |