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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465J-E-Rjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)54% (4827–4032, n=8859)44% (159–201, n=360)43% (10–13, n=23)
Consensus PnL$8.2M$36K$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #15was PM monthly #418PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus48% (14 of 29 open)88% (64 of 73 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NBA +3 pts n=21, ROI −1%
  • F1 +5 pts n=54, ROI +4%
  • Politics +2 pts n=33, ROI +2%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Elections −1 pts, n=78—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%28% of 378 at avg 27¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)70% (won 4% of 263)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)4% (won 53% of 15)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)6% (won 70% of 23)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)20% (won 92% of 77)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465J-E-Rjoseph00677
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
same side · consensus No
No $181KNo $24—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $22—