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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | ifyouloveme | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (61–67, n=128) | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 80% (4–1, n=5) | 66% (479–242, n=721) |
| Consensus PnL | -$304K | $227K | $78 | -$140K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #304 | PM monthly #43 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 25% (2 of 8 open) | 63% (31 of 49 open) | 61% (11 of 18 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 47% of 17 at avg 49¢, ROI +11% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 35% (won 0% of 6) | 6% (won 100% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 18% (won 33% of 3) | 13% (won 100% of 26) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 12% (won 100% of 2) | 30% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 35% (won 83% of 6) | 51% (won 100% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | ifyouloveme | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Magic $33K | Jazz $914 | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $93 | Vikings $1.9K | — | — |