← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (59–65, n=124) | 55% (200–166, n=366) | 66% (475–241, n=716) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$301K | $227K | -$143K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #44 + pinned | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 68% (26 of 38 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 13% (won 100% of 26) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 30% (won 100% of 62) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 51% (won 100% of 105) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | RN1 | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | Vikings $1.8K | — | — |
| Hersonissos 3: Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle same side · consensus Henry Searle | Robin Bertrand $1.0K | — | Robin Bertrand $12 | — |