Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677Pexter54321
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (1–1, n=2)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.3M$5.3M$21K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #2was PM monthly #997
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)74% (176 of 237 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%50% of 2 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)50% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)50% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677Pexter54321
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Ben Shelton
Arthur Rinderknech $2Ben Shelton $4.4K——