← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | uprightuser | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4948–4167, n=9115) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 73% (183–67, n=250) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | -$123K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #529 |
| Sides with the consensus | 45% (9 of 20 open) | 88% (29 of 33 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 55% of 309 at avg 54¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 36% (won 3% of 110) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 6% (won 22% of 18) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 9% (won 70% of 27) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 50% (won 93% of 154) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | uprightuser |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $20K | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $23 | No $37K | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — |