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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | zimmer888 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3354, n=7827) | 46% (560–666, n=1226) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 100% (6–0, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $11.2M | $4.2M | $12K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #147 | PM monthly #755 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (11 of 17 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 75% of 4 at avg 2¢, ROI +86% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 100% (won 75% of 4) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | zimmer888 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | No $5.6K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $372 | Yes $18K | — | — |