Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankdonube
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)70% (709–303, n=1012)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$7.9M$1.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #54PM monthly #3PM monthly #105 + pinned
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)82% (23 of 28 open)80% (141 of 177 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Mentions −13 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)22% (won 6% of 202)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)5% (won 43% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)6% (won 53% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)67% (won 96% of 612)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankdonube
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $45KNo $195
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $66KYes $22K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K—Yes $2.0K