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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjoseph00677Vladooos
Record (consensus markets)50% (71–72, n=143)56% (20–16, n=36)no settled market63% (20–12, n=32)
Consensus PnL-$253K$822K—-$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #1PM monthly #6was PM monthly #912
Sides with the consensus50% (18 of 36 open)44% (7 of 16 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic———Esports −7 pts, n=10
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%—65% of 26 at avg 67¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)0%—0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)57% (won 100% of 13)—8% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)39% (won 100% of 9)—46% (won 50% of 12)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)4% (won 100% of 1)—46% (won 92% of 12)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjoseph00677Vladooos
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane
Josh Hokit $227KCiryl Gane $323K——
Spurs vs. Bulls
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
Bulls $2.5KSpurs $166K——
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $152Lakers $2.0K——
Nets vs. Pelicans
same side · consensus Pelicans
Nets $270Nets $260K——
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
same side · consensus Nuggets
Grizzlies $7Grizzlies $90K——