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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Ariola76 | Flaznorp | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (62–70, n=132) | no settled market | 75% (743–249, n=992) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$493K | — | $70K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #521 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (4 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (89 of 132 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | — | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 4 at avg 74¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | — | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 25% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | — | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | — | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | — | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 75% (won 100% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Ariola76 | Flaznorp | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier opposite sides · consensus Daniel Altmaier | Daniel Altmaier $442 | — | Buvaysar Gadamauri $6.5K | — |
| Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green | Dartmouth Big Green $2.0K | — | Dartmouth Big Green $424 | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | — | Vikings $6 | — |