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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465AlanCurtisFlaznorpjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)54% (209–179, n=388)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)45% (10–12, n=22)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$22K$3.3M$5.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #837PM monthly #24PM monthly #2
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position75% (171 of 228 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%70% of 383 at avg 46¢, ROI 0%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)37% (won 31% of 143)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)21% (won 81% of 80)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 98% of 62)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)26% (won 100% of 98)39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465AlanCurtisFlaznorpjoseph00677
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Rinderknech
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Rinderknech
Arthur Rinderknech $2—Ben Shelton $2.7K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tereza Valentova vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $1.0K—Alexandra Eala $12K—