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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465739633786beachboy4RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3322, n=7858)88% (330–45, n=375)no settled market48% (14167–15640, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$7.8M-$120K—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19was PM monthly #975—PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position57% (17 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NBA +48 pts n=350, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +50 pts n=42, ROI +49%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%98% of 401 at avg 49¢, ROI +47%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)0% (won 100% of 2)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)53% (won 97% of 213)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)46% (won 98% of 186)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)0%—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.