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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3351, n=7824)60% (152–100, n=252)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$213K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #417
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)63% (19 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Geopolitics −2 pts, n=131
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%52% of 327 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)24% (won 15% of 79)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)23% (won 38% of 76)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)25% (won 54% of 82)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)28% (won 96% of 90)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-17599357954650xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $14KNo $17K