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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2a95bd...2209c8BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)100% (12–0, n=12)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)
Consensus PnL$20K$7.6M$4.1M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #939PM monthly #3PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position89% (31 of 35 open)63% (107 of 170 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicEsports ±0 pts, n=10—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15
Settled positions, side won90% of 10 at avg 90¢, ROI +5%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)
Entries 70¢ and up100% (won 90% of 10)20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.