Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872fantasy7788googleplayjoseph00677
Record (consensus markets)77% (322–94, n=416)100% (2–0, n=2)40% (2–3, n=5)no settled market
Consensus PnL$37K$245K$391K—
Tracked asPM monthly #692PM monthly #83PM monthly #18PM monthly #6
Sides with the consensus67% (94 of 140 open)100% (1 of 1 open)33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 56 at avg 76¢, ROI +23%100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 1)0%0%8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 7)50% (won 100% of 1)19% (won 70% of 10)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 12)50% (won 100% of 1)76% (won 85% of 41)69% (won 67% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up64% (won 100% of 36)0%6% (won 100% of 3)15% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872fantasy7788googleplayjoseph00677
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $530—Under $86K—
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Kings $1.1K—Kings $56K—
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
same side · consensus Celtics
Celtics $2.6K—Celtics $33K—