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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)69% (1770–810, n=2580)35% (3665–6666, n=10331)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14146–15606, n=29752)
Consensus PnL$155K$3.1M$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #159PM monthly #126PM monthly #96PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (16 of 22 open)72% (23 of 32 open)71% (52 of 73 open)53% (34 of 64 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +34 pts n=379, ROI +6%
  • Crypto +31 pts n=497, ROI +25%
  • NFL +27 pts n=65, ROI +9%
not computed yet
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won99% of 1297 at avg 71¢, ROI +12%—64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢6% (won 87% of 76)—13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 100% of 163)—19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 300)—23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 758)—44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eferrariChampions2026ndb1RN1
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $11K—Over $125
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
—Aidan Mayo $6.2K—Max Hans Rehberg $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $1.9K—Hornets $124
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Spurs $265—Kings $243
Spread: Raptors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $334—Raptors $121
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
same side · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
—Sumit Nagal $4.2K—Sumit Nagal $997
Celtics vs. Hornets: O/U 208.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.6K—Over $254
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
—Zsombor Piros $1.2K—Zsombor Piros $774
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $1.5K—Cavaliers $107
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $313—Carlo Alberto Caniato $300