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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465
Record (consensus markets)71% (1608–645, n=2253)57% (4516–3391, n=7907)
Consensus PnL$97K$7.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #173PM monthly #69
Sides with the consensus55% (30 of 55 open)70% (14 of 20 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topic—NHL −1 pts, n=134
Settled positions, side won99% of 1134 at avg 71¢, ROI +12%59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 90% of 62)17% (won 11% of 1183)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 99% of 146)24% (won 45% of 1724)
Entries 50–70¢23% (won 100% of 266)29% (won 66% of 2055)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 100% of 660)30% (won 91% of 2092)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $146KYes $50