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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GetsOnBaseBreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)100% (3–0, n=3)41% (589–853, n=1442)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)
Consensus PnL$80K$7.7M$3.3M$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #135PM monthly #1PM monthly #6PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position83% (29 of 35 open)no open consensus position54% (32 of 59 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 82% of 60)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 1)36% (won 98% of 212)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 100% of 1)35% (won 100% of 205)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 116)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGetsOnBaseBreakTheBankjoseph00677RN1
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Texans
—Chargers $2.4K—Texans $7.1K