← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 080526 | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 85% (44–8, n=52) | 58% (4536–3318, n=7854) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (991–574, n=1565) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $7.8M | $5.3M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #808 | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 85% (35 of 41 open) | 63% (12 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (52 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 41 at avg 73¢, ROI +24% | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 100% of 2) | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 100% of 17) | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 54% (won 100% of 22) | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 080526 | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $5.6K | Yes $58 | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $15K | Yes $53K | — | — |