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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 00gringo00 | ndb1 | pelik | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 99% (4287–15, n=4302) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $4.1M | $81K | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #411 | — |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 70% (28 of 40 open) | 99% (83 of 84 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 3061 at avg 100¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% (won 50% of 2) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 0% | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 0% (won 100% of 3) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 100% (won 100% of 3056) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 00gringo00 | ndb1 | pelik | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-06 House seat? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $4 | No $148 | — |