Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00ndb1RN1WagerWizard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (993–578, n=1571)47% (14379–15895, n=30274)95% (13695–688, n=14383)
Consensus PnL—$4.8M$14.8M$104K
Tracked as—PM monthly #96PM monthly #27 + pinnedPM monthly #967
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position71% (58 of 82 open)58% (19 of 33 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Soccer +16 pts n=7019, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%98% of 7019 at avg 82¢, ROI +14%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2588)4% (won 71% of 251)
Entries 30–50¢—19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5673)9% (won 91% of 636)
Entries 50–70¢—23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9163)11% (won 97% of 771)
Entries 70¢ and up—44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8536)76% (won 100% of 5361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00ndb1RN1WagerWizard
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $2