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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4MadridTimeprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market47% (1123–1262, n=2385)50% (1105–1116, n=2221)
Consensus PnL——-$28K$3.6M
Tracked as——was PM monthly #953PM monthly #48
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position42% (8 of 19 open)64% (9 of 14 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won——100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢——5% (won 100% of 26)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢——17% (won 100% of 85)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢——19% (won 100% of 94)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up——59% (won 100% of 296)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00beachboy4MadridTimeprimm
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Jaguars $35Ravens $9.7K
James Madison vs. Southern Miss: O/U 59.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $249Over $749
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
——Southern Miss $72Southern Miss $32