PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00beachboy4CORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)75% (6–2, n=8)69% (43–19, n=62)63% (375–222, n=597)48% (11709–12487, n=24196)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$5.8M$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #19was PM monthly #24PM monthly #126Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)50% (2 of 4 open)53% (16 of 30 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91——
Settled positions, side won86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 56% of 2460)
Entries 30–50¢0%29% (won 56% of 62)55% (won 99% of 209)22% (won 94% of 5335)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 86% of 7)54% (won 52% of 114)34% (won 100% of 128)36% (won 99% of 8653)
Entries 70¢ and up0%14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00beachboy4CORGIIRN1
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
same side · consensus MOUZ
——MOUZ $12KMOUZ $39K