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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00Kaczkandb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market51% (441–423, n=864)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL—$7.7K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked as—was PM monthly #997PM monthly #97PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)71% (52 of 73 open)52% (34 of 66 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +28 pts n=437, ROI +23%
  • NBA +29 pts n=40, ROI +25%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=90, ROI +18%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won—83% of 580 at avg 56¢, ROI +22%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—4% (won 69% of 26)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢—23% (won 71% of 134)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢—61% (won 87% of 356)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up—11% (won 92% of 64)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.