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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00Flaznorpndb1skadii
Record (consensus markets)no settled market52% (6434–6029, n=12463)63% (993–578, n=1571)47% (178–200, n=378)
Consensus PnL—$3.6M$4.8M-$78K
Tracked as—PM monthly #11PM monthly #97was PM monthly #656
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (183 of 242 open)71% (52 of 73 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%46% of 363 at avg 46¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 186)27% (won 14% of 98)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 255)19% (won 39% of 267)31% (won 41% of 111)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 58% of 326)26% (won 66% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up—39% (won 94% of 637)44% (won 94% of 619)16% (won 78% of 58)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.