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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
00gringo00BreakTheBankFlaznorplopezmartin
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6492–5997, n=12489)65% (11–6, n=17)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.3M$47K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #555
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position76% (26 of 34 open)71% (174 of 246 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 50¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)24% (won 25% of 4)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)18% (won 33% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)35% (won 67% of 6)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)24% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market00gringo00BreakTheBankFlaznorplopezmartin
M15 Fergana: Aristarkh Safonov vs Nikita Ianin
same side · consensus Nikita Ianin
——Aristarkh Safonov $12Aristarkh Safonov $290