Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Aristarkh Safonov — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Aristarkh Safonov
M15 Fergana: Aristarkh Safonov vs Nikita Ianin
Resolved Aristarkh Safonov. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Aristarkh Safonov. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Aristarkh Safonov 56%
$732.94
$394.1
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 poshposh | Aristarkh Safonovavg 40.8¢ | $170.98 | $418.85 | +$247.87 | 57% 12692-9758 (22450) |
TO topdogbigboi | Aristarkh Safonovavg 45.7¢ | $120.36 | $263.15 | +$142.79 | 47% 11685-13388 (25073) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Aristarkh Safonovavg 55¢ | $11 | $20 | +$9 | 51% 25716-24429 (50145) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR | Nikita Ianinavg 53.2¢ | $284.46 | $10.93 | -$273.52 | 50% 21156-21414 (42570) |
US User7429<$100 | Aristarkh Safonovavg 46.7¢ | $4.67 | $10 | +$5.33 | 56% 9104-7256 (16360) |
DI dips.<$100 | Aristarkh Safonovavg 91.4¢ | $9.14 | $10 | +$0.86 | 47% 10622-12135 (22757) |
LO lopezmartin | Aristarkh Safonovavg 32.9¢ | $397.51 | $0.01 | +$88.72 | — 11-6 (17) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Nikita Ianinavg 73.6¢ | $62.35 | — | -$12.35 | 53% 23478-20703 (44181) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR<$100 | Nikita Ianinavg 50.2¢ | $2.51 | — | -$2.51 | 59% 32944-23128 (56072) |
SL SlickRick123 | Aristarkh Safonovavg 43¢ | $189.72 | — | +$251.49 | 48% 5434-5945 (11379) |
LR lryyyCTR | Nikita Ianinavg 71.7¢ | $107.58 | — | -$63.58 | 47% 9372-10508 (19880) |
poshposhInvested
$170.98
Value
$418.85
PnL
+$247.87
Record
57%
12692-9758 (22450)
Invested
$120.36
Value
$263.15
PnL
+$142.79
Record
47%
11685-13388 (25073)
Invested
$11
Value
$20
PnL
+$9
Record
51%
25716-24429 (50145)
Invested
$284.46
Value
$10.93
PnL
-$273.52
Record
50%
21156-21414 (42570)
Invested
$4.67
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.33
Record
56%
9104-7256 (16360)
Invested
$9.14
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.86
Record
47%
10622-12135 (22757)
Invested
$397.51
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$88.72
Record
—
11-6 (17)
Invested
$62.35
Value
—
PnL
-$12.35
Record
53%
23478-20703 (44181)
Invested
$2.51
Value
—
PnL
-$2.51
Record
59%
32944-23128 (56072)
Invested
$189.72
Value
—
PnL
+$251.49
Record
48%
5434-5945 (11379)
Invested
$107.58
Value
—
PnL
-$63.58
Record
47%
9372-10508 (19880)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
poshposh
Aristarkh Safonov — $418.85
topdogbigboi
Aristarkh Safonov — $263.15
Flaznorp
Aristarkh Safonov — $20
omnibus-076daa
CTRNikita Ianin — $10.93
User7429
Aristarkh Safonov — $10
dips.
Aristarkh Safonov — $10
lopezmartin
Aristarkh Safonov — $0.01
cigarettes
CTRNikita Ianin — $0
0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846
CTRNikita Ianin — $0
SlickRick123
Aristarkh Safonov — $0